Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Federal District
The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Federal District, Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election from Federal District. Candidates will be primarily ranked by orde…
As of 16 October 2026, "Flavio Bolsonaro" leads at 99% implied probability (+4.1pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Lula", from 97% to 99%. The event has traded $7.5K in total ($6.4K in the last 24h) with $46.1K of liquidity across 8 markets. Trading is due to close on 26 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
8 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.