Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará
The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election from Pará. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in …
As of 16 October 2026, "Lula" leads at 81% implied probability (-7.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Flavio Bolsonaro", from 13% to 21%. The event has traded $9.3K in total ($839 in the last 24h) with $59.2K of liquidity across 8 markets. Trading is due to close on 26 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
8 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.