Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte
The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte. Candidates will be primarily ranked b…
As of 16 October 2026, "Lula" leads at 95% implied probability (-3.2pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Flavio Bolsonaro", from 99% to 95%. The event has traded $5.6K in total ($2.2K in the last 24h) with $46.9K of liquidity across 8 markets. Trading is due to close on 26 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
8 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.