Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory
The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the next Brazil Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is de…
As of 20 October 2026, "Flávio Bolsonaro 4-6%" leads at 25% implied probability. The event has traded $8 in total ($8 in the last 24h) with $581 of liquidity across 15 markets. Trading is due to close on 26 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
15 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.