Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by...?
In March 2026, Brazil imposed a 12% export tax on crude oil through Provisional Measure (MP) 1.340/2026. The tax has since been extended by resolutions of the Foreign Trade Chamber (Gecex-Camex), and oil producers are challenging it in court. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) or…
As of 29 October 2026, "December 31, 2027" leads at 54% implied probability. The event has traded $520 in total ($629 in the last 24h) with $265 of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 July 2028.
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Holders and activity
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3 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.