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Politicscloses in 15mo

Canada applies for full EU membership by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Government of Canada formally submits an application for Canada to become an EU member state to the European Union by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal application means a written request for Canada to become a member state o…

As of 17 September 2026, "December 31, 2026" leads at 50% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $0 of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2028.

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Markets
2
1 Jan 2028
CanadacarneyPoliticsGeopoliticsMark CarneyEuropean Union US Canada Trade Warinternational affairs

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketDecember 31, 2026
Yes50.0¢
24h Chg
Mkt Vol$0
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

2 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.