Canada becomes EU Associate Member by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canada and the European Union sign or formally adopt a written diplomatic instrument that establishes an associate membership or equivalent status for Canada in relation to the European Union by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". An instrument esta…
As of 17 September 2026, "December 31, 2026" leads at 50% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $12 of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 July 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
3 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.