Techcloses in 5mo

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/l…

24h volume

$163

Total volume

$126.4K

Liquidity

$13.5K

Markets

31 Dec 2026

AI BenchmarksTechBig TechgoogleAI

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

9 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.