ChatGPT Full Outage by...?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be consider…
As of 12 September 2026, "September 30" leads at 21% implied probability (-12.5pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $15.5K in total ($589 in the last 24h) with $1.2K of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 30 September 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
2 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.