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Politicscloses in 3mo

China coup attempt before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state act…

As of 12 September 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 4% implied probability. The event has traded $155.4K in total ($19 in the last 24h) with $25.7K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.

24h volume
$19
Total volume
$155.4K
Liquidity
$25.7K
Markets
1
1 Jan 2027
HFCPoliticsGeopoliticsWorldChinaxi jinping

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketChina coup attempt before 2027?
Yes3.5¢
24h Chg
Mkt Vol$155.4K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.