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China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled for some time in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If the reported …

As of 20 October 2026, "<3.4%" leads at 3% implied probability. The event has traded $512 in total ($512 in the last 24h) with $1.2K of liquidity across 9 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 February 2027.

24h volume
$512
Total volume
$512
Liquidity
$1.2K
Markets
9
1 Feb 2027
GDPChinaEconomyRecurringMacro Indicators

Chart, demo trading & order book

Market<3.4%
Yes2.9¢
24h Chg—
Mkt Vol$332
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

9 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker