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China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Market resolved

Outcome: Yes. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.

Settled 28 Jul 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and Philippines between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving th…

24h volume
$640.7K
Total volume
$2.2M
Liquidity
$62.0K
Markets
1
31 Dec 2026
ChinaWorldGeopolitics

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The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

China x Philippines military clash before 2027? — result: Yes · Polytracker