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Politicscloses in 3mo

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date w…

As of 12 September 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 38% implied probability. The event has traded $21.7K in total ($504 in the last 24h) with $650 of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.

24h volume
$504
Total volume
$21.7K
Liquidity
$650
Markets
1
1 Jan 2027
EuropeECBGlobal RatesPoliticsEconomyEuropean Central Bank

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketChristine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
Yes37.5¢
24h Chg
Mkt Vol$21.7K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.