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Politicscloses in 17d

Christopher Luxon out by September 30?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Luxon ceases to be Prime Minister of New Zealand for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Christopher Luxon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immedi…

As of 12 September 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 3% implied probability (+1.0pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $81.3K in total ($377 in the last 24h) with $20.0K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 30 September 2026.

24h volume
$377
Total volume
$81.3K
Liquidity
$20.0K
Markets
1
30 Sept 2026
PoliticsNew Zealand

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketChristopher Luxon out by September 30?
Yes3.3¢
24h Chg+1.0pp
Mkt Vol$81.3K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.