Politicscloses in 15d
Clacton by-election: Margin of Victory (Lower Farage brackets)
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. For the purpose of this market, th…
24h volume
$50
Total volume
$11.2K
Liquidity
$26.1K
Markets
6
13 Aug 2026
Politics
Probability over time
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Markets and probabilities
6 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.