Claude 6 released by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 6 model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Claude" and be designated as version 6 or high…
As of 19 October 2026, "March 31, 2027" leads at 40% implied probability (+5.5pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $38.7K in total ($90 in the last 24h) with $25.8K of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 December 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
3 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.