Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Fable model (5.2+) debuts at a standard output token price of at least the specified price, in USD per million tokens. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designate…
As of 8 November 2026, "$50+" leads at 50% implied probability (+11.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "$40+", from 93% to 71%. The event has traded $26.3K in total ($25 in the last 24h) with $5.7K of liquidity across 4 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 July 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
4 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.