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Politicscloses in 3mo

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo announces she is resigning as President of Mexico or otherwise ceases to be President of Mexico for any length of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum’s resignation/removal befo…

As of 12 September 2026, "December 31, 2026" leads at 7% implied probability (+1.1pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $285.6K in total ($359 in the last 24h) with $16.7K of liquidity across 4 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.

24h volume
$359
Total volume
$285.6K
Liquidity
$16.7K
Markets
4
1 Jan 2027
Mexico Cartel WarmenchoPoliticsMexico

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketDecember 31, 2026
Yes7.0¢
24h Chg+1.1pp
Mkt Vol$33.3K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

4 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.