Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a confirmed case of pneumonic plague in a human is reported in the Russian Federation at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Moscow time, . Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "confirmed case" is a case explicitly identified by a qualifying…
As of 16 October 2026, "October 31, 2026" leads at 3% implied probability (-1.7pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $92.4K in total ($742 in the last 24h) with $11.4K of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
2 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.