Politicscloses in 5mo

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Communist Party of Cuba (PCC) ceases to exercise de facto governing control over Cuba by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “Yes” resolution requires a clear and widely reported break from the PCC’s historical control over the governm…

24h volume

$5.3K

Total volume

$1.6M

Liquidity

$43.8K

Markets

31 Dec 2026

GeopoliticsTrumpCubaPCCOverthrowCommunist Party of CubaMiguel Diaz-CanelCastro

Probability over time

Loading…

Holders and activity

Loading holders…

Markets and probabilities

1 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.