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Politicscloses in 15mo

Dem sweep & US recession by end of 2027?

This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of (1) whether the Democratic Party wins control of both the United States House of Representatives and the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election and (2) whether the United States enters a recession by the end of 2027. Options beginni…

As of 2 November 2026, "Dem sweep; Recession" leads at 21% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $1.9K of liquidity across 4 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 February 2028.

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$0
Liquidity
$1.9K
Markets
4
1 Feb 2028
EconomyCongressMidtermsPoliticsElectionsEarn 3.25%ConditionalsUnited StatesMidterm Combos

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketDem sweep; Recession
Yes21.4¢
24h Chg—
Mkt Vol$0
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

4 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.