Dems' best tossup Senate race?
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election. Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total numb…
As of 18 October 2026, "Michigan" leads at 41% implied probability (+4.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Texas", from 24% to 17%. The event has traded $8.7K in total ($223 in the last 24h) with $111.5K of liquidity across 6 markets. Trading is due to close on 3 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
6 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.