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Economycloses in 3mo

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the state…

As of 14 September 2026, "25 bps increase" leads at 28% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $564 of liquidity across 5 markets. Trading is due to close on 17 December 2026.

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$0
Liquidity
$564
Markets
5
17 Dec 2026
ECBEuroEuropeEconomyeurozoneGlobal Ratesinterest ratesmonetary policyMacro IndicatorsEuropean Central Bank

Chart, demo trading & order book

Market25 bps increase
Yes27.5¢
24h Chg
Mkt Vol$0
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

5 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026 — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker