ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statem…
As of 12 September 2026, "No change" leads at 52% implied probability (-9.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "25 bps increase", from 38% to 49%. The event has traded $105.0K in total ($10.6K in the last 24h) with $14.8K of liquidity across 5 markets. Trading is due to close on 29 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
5 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.