Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main fee…
As of 16 October 2026, "360-379" leads at 0% implied probability (-11.3pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "340-359", from 29% to 100%. The event has traded $4.1M in total ($1.2M in the last 24h) with $812.9K of liquidity across 26 markets. Trading is due to close on 16 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
26 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.