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Economycloses in 16d

EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?

On October 1, 2026, Reuters reported that the United States had told France and Germany to release emergency diesel stocks or face a potential US diesel export ban, as Washington presses European countries to draw down their reserves to ease surging diesel prices. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.…

As of 16 October 2026, "32M+" leads at 88% implied probability. The biggest 24h move is "35M+", from 45% to 43%. The event has traded $39.1K in total ($938 in the last 24h) with $56.5K of liquidity across 8 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 November 2026.

24h volume
$938
Total volume
$39.1K
Liquidity
$56.5K
Markets
8
1 Nov 2026
OilIranEuropeFrancedieselEconomyGermanypetroleumEuropean Union

Chart, demo trading & order book

Market32M+
Yes87.5¢
24h Chg+0.0pp
Mkt Vol$9.9K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

8 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.