Politicscloses in 1mo

European military action against Iran by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European country takes a qualifying military action against Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM Central European Summer Time (CEST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiat…

24h volume

$18.0K

Total volume

$204.3K

Liquidity

$69.2K

Markets

31 Aug 2026

UKeuIranEuropeFranceGermanyGeopolitics

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

2 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.