Politicscloses in 4mo

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Raul Castro is taken into U.S. government custody at any point by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Raul Castro will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another a…

24h volume

Total volume

$822.6K

Liquidity

$21.7K

Markets

1 Jan 2027

PoliticsCubaTrumpGeopoliticsDiaz-Canel

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

3 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.