Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo
The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the single listed outcome t…
As of 16 October 2026, "Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems" leads at 37% implied probability (-2.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Lula, Eizenkot, Dems", from 3% to 10%. The event has traded $171.8K in total ($50.3K in the last 24h) with $201.8K of liquidity across 42 markets. Trading is due to close on 4 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
42 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.