Politicscloses in 1mo
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one of the specified islands is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The islands that will be considered for resolution are: Farsi Island, Hengam Island, Hormuz Island and Kharg Island. "No longer…
24h volume
$2.0K
Total volume
$5.3K
Liquidity
$80.7K
Markets
2
30 Sept 2026
OilIranUS-IranGeopoliticsMiddle EastU.S. x IranIran Ceasefire
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Markets and probabilities
2 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.