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Fed rate cut by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no Ja…

24h volume
$15.7K
Total volume
$3.0M
Liquidity
$198.4K
Markets
8
17 Jun 2026
Jerome PowellFedFed RatesFinanceEconomyEconomic Policy

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

8 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Fed rate cut by...? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker