Fed rate hike by...?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will re…
As of 12 September 2026, "September Meeting" leads at 79% implied probability (+16.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "October Meeting", from 25% to 19%. The event has traded $3.2M in total ($188.6K in the last 24h) with $146.3K of liquidity across 5 markets. Trading is due to close on 29 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
5 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.