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Politicscloses in 1mo

Fetterman leaves the Democrats...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For purposes of this market, "Before the Midterms" is defined to mean by November 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Announcem…

As of 12 September 2026, "Before the Midterms" leads at 6% implied probability. The event has traded $2.3K in total ($180 in the last 24h) with $18.1K of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 2 November 2026.

24h volume
$180
Total volume
$2.3K
Liquidity
$18.1K
Markets
2
2 Nov 2026
SenatePoliticspennsylvaniajohn fetterman

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketBefore the Midterms
Yes6.0¢
24h Chg
Mkt Vol$1.5K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

2 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.