First Round Outright Winner in the Vermont Governor Election?
The 2026 midterm Vermont Governor election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes cast. If no candidate wins a majority, the Vermont General Assembly will elect the Governor. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2…
As of 16 October 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 80% implied probability (+10.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "No", from 31% to 21%. The event has traded $1.2K in total ($274 in the last 24h) with $373 of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 4 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
1 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.