First snow of the 2026 season
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records any snowfall, including trace, between market creation and the listed deadline, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The observation day is each station's National Weather Service climate day (midnight to midnight local ti…
As of 17 October 2026, "Detroit, MI by November 15" leads at 70% implied probability (-6.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "New York City, NY by November 30", from 45% to 26%. The event has traded $33.6K in total ($1.6K in the last 24h) with $12.1K of liquidity across 31 markets. Trading is due to close on 4 December 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
31 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.