Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by October 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be offici…
As of 16 October 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 3% implied probability (-1.2pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $5.9K in total ($1.0K in the last 24h) with $14.5K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 1 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
1 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.