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Politicscloses in 18d

Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be offi…

As of 12 September 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 7% implied probability. The event has traded $5.8K in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $9.8K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 1 October 2026.

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$5.8K
Liquidity
$9.8K
Markets
1
1 Oct 2026
crimeBrazilindictPoliticsinternational affairs

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketFlávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?
Yes6.5¢
24h Chg
Mkt Vol$5.8K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.