Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if police officers, security forces, or military personnel belonging to neither Israel nor a Palestinian entity begin an officially acknowledged police, military, peacekeeping, and/or security operation on the ground within Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market wi…
As of 12 September 2026, "December 31" leads at 22% implied probability (-3.5pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $1.1M in total ($1.3K in the last 24h) with $55.4K of liquidity across 6 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
6 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.