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Politicscloses in 3mo

France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany takes a qualifying military action against Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action by any one of France, the United Kingdom, or Germany will be suffici…

As of 16 September 2026, "September 30" leads at 49% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $127 of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 December 2026.

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$0
Liquidity
$127
Markets
3
31 Dec 2026
YemenFranceGermanyMilitaryGeopoliticsMiddle EastUnited KingdomMilitary ActionsMilitary Strikes

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketSeptember 30
Yes48.5¢
24h Chg
Mkt Vol$0
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

3 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.