French Presidential Election First Round: Mélenchon Vote Share?
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Jean-Luc Mélenchon in the first round of this election. The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the t…
As of 6 November 2026, "<12%" leads at 47% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $1.1K of liquidity across 6 markets. Trading is due to close on 18 April 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
6 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.