French Presidential Election First Round: Le Pen hits __% in any poll?
The first round of the French presidential election is scheduled to take place on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any first-round voting intention poll for this election conducted by Elabe, YouGov, OpinionWay, Ifop, Harris Interactive, Odoxa, or Ipsos, and published between market creation and Apr…
As of 6 November 2026, "38%" leads at 87% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $107 of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 17 April 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
3 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.