French Presidential Election First Round Winner
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any …
As of 16 October 2026, "Marine Le Pen" leads at 86% implied probability (-0.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Jean-Luc Mélenchon", from 93% to 89%. The event has traded $30.9K in total ($4.9K in the last 24h) with $311.1K of liquidity across 43 markets. Trading is due to close on 18 April 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
43 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.