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Techcloses in 2mo

Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a frontier AI lab removes general public access in the United States to one of its previously publicly available AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Frontier AI labs refers to OpenAI,…

As of 30 October 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 18% implied probability. The event has traded $9.0K in total ($1.5K in the last 24h) with $505 of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.

24h volume
$1.5K
Total volume
$9.0K
Liquidity
$505
Markets
1
1 Jan 2027
AITechOpenAIBig TechAnthropicAI RegulationAI Safety

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketFrontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?
Yes18.0¢
24h Chg—
Mkt Vol$9.0K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.