GA-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
The first round of the 2026 GA-02 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid vo…
As of 22 September 2026, "Democrat 20-25%" leads at 19% implied probability (-6.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Democrat 10-15%", from 12% to 37%. The event has traded $5.0K in total ($1.4K in the last 24h) with $28.3K of liquidity across 11 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 July 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
11 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.