GDP growth in 2026
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this…
As of 12 September 2026, "0.5–1.0%" leads at 1% implied probability (+0.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "2.0–2.5%", from 39% to 56%. The event has traded $64.4K in total ($1.7K in the last 24h) with $4.7K of liquidity across 6 markets. Trading is due to close on 29 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
6 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.