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GPT-6 released by…?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups…

24h volume
$20.7K
Total volume
$771.1K
Liquidity
$77.8K
Markets
10
31 Dec 2025
OpenAIGPT-5Big TechAITechsam altmanAI Releases

Probability over time

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Markets and probabilities

10 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

GPT-6 released by…? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker