GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "As…
As of 19 October 2026, "October 31" leads at 26% implied probability (-0.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "October 23", from 15% to 7%. The event has traded $327.3K in total ($10.3K in the last 24h) with $25.7K of liquidity across 5 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 December 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
5 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.