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Politicscloses in 3mo

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant quali…

As of 20 September 2026, "December 31" leads at 83% implied probability. The event has traded $72.9K in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $259 of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$72.9K
Liquidity
$259
Markets
2
1 Jan 2027
Greta ThunbergGazaMiddle EastPoliticsIsraelWorld

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketDecember 31
Yes82.8¢
24h Chg
Mkt Vol$987
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

2 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Greta Thunberg arrested by...? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker