Grok (Web) Outage by...?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Gr…
As of 23 October 2026, "October 31" leads at 47% implied probability (+6.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "November 30", from 49% to 51%. The event has traded $4.2K in total ($222 in the last 24h) with $719 of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 December 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
2 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.