Politicscloses in 5mo

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto lead…

24h volume

$147

Total volume

$305.3K

Liquidity

$10.0K

Markets

31 Dec 2026

GeopoliticsRegional SpilloverIranBahrainking of bahrain

Probability over time

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Markets and probabilities

2 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.